Northeast Power Coordinating Council forecasts solid summer 2016 reliability

April 28, 2016 10:43 AM Eastern Daylight Time

NEW YORK–(BUSINESS WIRE)–The Northeast Power Coordinating Council, Inc. (NPCC) today released the results of its annual summer reliability assessment. The assessment concludes that the NPCC Region will have an adequate supply of electricity this summer, based on thousands of simulations covering a wide range of system and weather conditions.

“The overall NPCC forecast for electricity peak demand is 1,050 MW lower than last year’s forecast. This is because improvements in energy efficiency, demand response programs and contributions from “behind-the-meter” solar facilities have more than offset load growth associated with projected economic activity,” said Edward Schwerdt, President and CEO of NPCC.

The assessment considered an array of severe system conditions including the impact of: 1) extended maintenance; 2) reductions in demand-response programs; 3) reductions in the ability to import power from neighboring Regions; 4) transmission constraints; and 5) extreme weather characterized by wide-spread and prolonged heat waves with high humidity and temperatures.

Established operating procedures are available to maintain reliability and keep electricity supplies and demand in balance if severe system conditions or extreme weather occur.

“The Region’s reliability will be strengthened by completion of multiple transmission projects that will increase transfer capability within New York and New England. In addition, NPCC’s installed net capacity has increased by approximately 2,700 MW, primarily due to new wind and hydro units in Ontario and Quebec,” said Schwerdt.

For New York City and throughout New York State, an adequate supply of electricity is forecast. This also holds true for Ontario and New England. Finally, the winter peaking Québec and the Canadian Maritime Provinces are expected to meet forecasted electricity demand by a wide margin.

A summary of the NPCC 2016 Summer Reliability Assessment is available at: on the Home Page under the “Latest News” header.

About NPCC

The NPCC geographic region includes the State of New York and the six New England states as well as the Canadian provinces of Ontario, Québec and the Maritime provinces of New Brunswick and Nova Scotia. Overall, NPCC covers an area of nearly 1.2 million square miles, populated by more than 56 million people. In total, from a net energy for load perspective, NPCC is approximately 45% U.S. and 55% Canadian. With regard to Canada, approximately 70% of Canadian net energy for load is within the NPCC Region.

One of NPCC’s responsibilities is to coordinate international electric power grid reliability for Northeastern North America. Toward that end, NPCC annually performs comprehensive seasonal assessments of electricity supply and demand reliability for eastern Canada, New England and the City and State of New York. These assessments require months of detailed preparation and are performed with the participation of regional electricity power grid operators and planners.