SEPT. 3, 2013, AUSTIN, TX — The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) expects to have enough power available to serve peak demand needs this coming fall and winter, even if extreme weather or an unusually high number of forced generation outages dip into its planning reserves.
“The system appears to be well-prepared for fall electric needs, and that outlook continues into the coming winter months,” said ERCOT Director of System Planning Warren Lasher as he summed up the final fall and preliminary winter Seasonal Assessment of Resource Adequacy (SARA) reports issued today.
The fall SARA projects about 74,000 megawatts (MW) of generation will be available to serve about 47,000 MW of anticipated peak demand needs during October and November. Based on the current weather outlook and average plant outages during fall peak demand hours over the past five years, ERCOT expects to have nearly 20,000 MW of capacity available for operating reserves. That range could drop to just under 4,600 MW in an extreme-load and high-outage scenario.